Close Championships Battles Predicted in Both Men’s & Women’s Division I Team Rankings

By Kyle Terwillegar, USTFCCCA

March 10, 2014   

NEW ORLEANS – Entries for the NCAA Division I NCAA Indoor Championships are in and the final U.S. Track & Field and Cross Country Coaches Association (USTFCCCA) National Team Computer Rankings are out: the Florida Gators’ men and women are the pre-meet favorites.

Based only on entries into the NCAA Championship meet – held March 14-15 in Albuquerque, N.M. – the Gator men are projected by the computer as the most likely team to claim the NCAA team title, which would be their fourth in the past five years.

Men’s Top Five

1)St. Olaf 2)North Central 3)Williams 4)Middlebury 5)Middlebury
Florida
176.35 pts
13 entries
Arkansas
155.62 pts
13 entries
Texas A&M
126.85 pts
10 entries
Wisconsin
109.10 pts
8 entries
Arizona
103.85 pts
7 entries
View Complete Men’s Rankings

With 13 entries apiece, both Florida, with a team rankings score of 176.35, and defending indoor champion No. 2 Arkansas at 155.62 are in very strong position to contend for the team title. The Gators actually slightly bolstered their position in terms of team rankings score by about 10 points.

Historically, the Gators are in a good position as the top-ranked team entering the NCAA Championships, with each of the past five national men’s indoor champions – including Florida itself from 2010 through 2012 – having claimed the team title as the No. 1 team in the rankings.

Only Florida State in the USTFCCCA rankings’ inaugural year of 2008 was not crowned the team champions after entering with the top spot.

Women’s Top Five

1)Calvin 2)Middlebury 3)Williams 4)North Central 5)North Central
Florida
170.46 pts
14 entries
Oregon
166.84 pts
13 entries
Texas A&M
160.58 pts
13 entries
Georgia
125.59 pts
8 entries
Texas
116.21 pts
9 entries
View Complete Women’s Rankings

The Florida women, on the other hand, remained at the top of the rankings for the second consecutive week but dropped ever closer into a three-way race for No. 1 with four-time defending national champion No. 2 Oregon and No. 3 Texas A&M.

Not since the USTFCCCA rankings began in 2008 have the top three women’s teams been as close to one another as they are this season, with fewer than 10 team rankings points between top-ranked Florida and third-ranked A&M.

Florida (170.46) topped the list of total entries into NCAAs with 14, but Oregon (166.84) and Texas A&M (160.58) both boast 13 entries, themselves. No. 7 Arkansas is just one more back with 12.

The 3.62 difference between Florida and Oregon is the third-slimmest margin between women’s No. 1 and 2 teams since 2008. LSU’s 2.98 gap over Arizona State in 2008 is the smallest.

More Info

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Based on the past six seasons, the odds of the top-ranked team claiming the national title are equal to the field taking the crown. Oregon won as the top seed in each of its first three of four consecutive titles between 2010 and 2012, but came from the No. 4 spot to claim its most recent 2013 crown.

Tennessee and Arizona State won as two seeds in 2009 and 2008, respectively.

Rounding out the men’s top five were No. 3 Texas A&M (126.85), No. 4 Wisconsin (109.10) and No. 5 Arizona (103.85). Both Wisconsin and Arizona moved up one spot to bump Oregon (97.06) down two positions to No. 6.

The remaining top ten held stationary from a week ago: No. 7 Florida State (71.70), No. 8 Penn State (64.33), No. 9 Villanova (60.55) and No. 10 Southern California (60.46).

Completing the women’s top five were No. 4 Georgia (125.59) and preseason favorite No. 5 Texas (116.21), which moved up a spot from a week ago.

Unlike the men’s rankings, the women’s were significantly shuffled with the announcement of the entries.

No. 6 Kentucky (101.49) moved up a spot, while down two was No. 7 Arkansas (96.30). No. 8 LSU (73.36) improved three positions, No. 9 Florida State (70.49) went up four and No. 10 Dartmouth (67.80) was up two.

The national team rankings are complied by mathematical formulae based on national descending order lists. The purpose and methodology of the rankings is to create an index that showcases the teams that have the best potential of achieving the top spots in the national team race. Rankings points do not equate with NCAA Championships team points. A full description of the rankings can be found here.

The USTFCCCA National Team Computer Rankings should not be referred to as a “poll” as no voting occurs during the process.

USTFCCCA NCAA Division I

Men’s Indoor Track & Field National Team Computer Rankings (Top 25)

2014 Week #7 — March 11 (pre-Championships)

next ranking: none, NCAA Championships (FINAL)
Rank School Points Conference Head Coach (Yr) Last Week
1 Florida 176.35 SEC Mike Holloway (12th) 1
2 Arkansas 155.62 SEC Chris Bucknam (6th) 2
3 Texas A&M 126.85 SEC Pat Henry (10th) 3
4 Wisconsin 109.10 Big Ten Mick Byrne (1st) 5
5 Arizona 103.85 MPSF Fred Harvey (12th) 6
6 Oregon 97.06 MPSF Robert Johnson (2nd) 4
7 Florida State 71.70 ACC Bob Braman (11th) 7
8 Penn State 64.33 Big Ten Beth Alford-Sullivan (8th) 8
9 Villanova 60.55 Big East Marcus O’Sullivan (14th) 9
10 Southern California 60.46 Independent (DI) Caryl Smith Gilbert (1st) 10
11 Alabama 55.11 SEC Dan Waters (3rd) 11
12 Notre Dame 49.57 ACC Joe Piane (39th) 12
13 Mississippi State 46.05 Independent (DI) Steve Dudley (4th) 13
14 Nebraska 45.21 Big Ten Gary Pepin (31st) 14
15 Colorado 44.16 MPSF Mark Wetmore (19th) 15
16 Stanford 43.81 MPSF Chris Miltenberg (2nd) 16
17 Ohio State 42.60 Big Ten Ed Beathea (3rd) 20
18 Akron 41.53 Mid-American Dennis Mitchell (19th) 18
19 Cornell 40.87 Ivy Nathan Taylor (15th) 19
20 LSU 39.42 SEC Dennis Shaver (10th) 17
21 Purdue 38.46 Big Ten Rolando Greene (2nd) 21
22 Michigan State 36.32 Big Ten Walt Drenth (8th) 22
23 Iowa State 35.11 Big 12 Martin Smith (1st) 29
24 Texas Tech 34.98 Big 12 Wes Kittley (15th) 24
25 Texas 34.32 Big 12 Mario Sategna (1st) 27
Dropped out: No. 23 UTEP, No. 25 Mississippi
View All Teams Beyond the Top 25

 

Men’s Conference Index Top 10
Rank Conference Points Top 25 Teams
1 SEC 637.91 5
2 Big Ten 388.04 6
3 MPSF 379.77 4
4 ACC 228.79 2
5 Big 12 193.54 3
6 American 107.13
7 Independent (DI) 106.51 2
8 Mid-American 99.18 1
9 Big East 94.64 1
10 Ivy 78.02 1

 

USTFCCCA NCAA Division I

Women’s Indoor Track & Field National Team Computer Rankings (Top 25)

2014 Week #7 — March 11 (pre-Championships)

next ranking: none, NCAA Championships (FINAL)
Rank School Points Conference Head Coach (Yr) Last Week
1 Florida 170.46 SEC Mike Holloway (7th) 1
2 Oregon 166.84 MPSF Robert Johnson (2nd) 2
3 Texas A&M 160.58 SEC Pat Henry (10th) 3
4 Georgia 125.59 SEC Wayne Norton (15th) 4
5 Texas 116.21 Big 12 Mario Sategna (1st) 6
6 Kentucky 101.49 SEC Edrick Floreal (2nd) 7
7 Arkansas 96.30 SEC Lance Harter (24th) 5
8 LSU 73.36 SEC Dennis Shaver (10th) 11
9 Florida State 70.49 ACC Bob Braman (11th) 13
10 Dartmouth 67.80 Ivy Sandra Ford-Centonze (22nd) 12
11 Mississippi State 52.93 SEC Steve Dudley (4th) 15
12 Penn State 52.35 Big Ten Beth Alford-Sullivan (15th) 16
13 Maryland 49.83 ACC Andrew Valmon (11th) 9
14 Stanford 49.78 MPSF Chris Miltenberg (2nd) 10
15 Texas Tech 43.56 Big 12 Wes Kittley (15th) 19
16 Alabama 43.39 SEC Dan Waters (3rd) 18
17 Georgetown 43.11 Big East Patrick Henner (7th) 14
18 South Dakota 42.47 Summit League Lucky Huber (20th) 17
19 Michigan State 42.42 Big Ten Walt Drenth (8th) 23
20 Iowa State 40.14 Big 12 Martin Smith (1st) 24
21 Providence 38.99 Big East Ray Treacy (30th) 8
22 Purdue 38.00 Big Ten Rolando Greene (2nd) 21
23 UCLA 37.07 MPSF Mike Maynard (2nd) 22
24 Miami (Fla.) 35.89 ACC Amy Deem (24th) 20
25 Missouri 34.80 SEC Brett Halter (4th) 27
Dropped out: No. 25 Michigan
View All Teams Beyond the Top 25

 

Women’s Conference Index Top 10
Rank Conference Points Top 25 Teams
1 SEC 930.45 9
2 MPSF 322.98 3
3 Big 12 287.83 3
4 ACC 283.23 3
5 Big Ten 214.25 3
6 Big East 116.11 2
7 Ivy 75.54 1
8 Mountain West 64.43
9 Mid-American 61.06
10 Conference USA 53.50