Preseason DI Outdoor T&F National Team Computer Rankings Favor Arkansas Men & Texas A&M Women

By Kyle Terwillegar, USTFCCCA

March 25, 2014   

NEW ORLEANS – Arkansas’ men and Texas A&M’s women are the preseason favorites to win the national team titles at the NCAA Division I Outdoor Championships according to the U.S. Track & Field and Cross Country Coaches Association (USTFCCCA) National Team Computer Rankings released Tuesday.

Based on the top marks from the current outdoor season in combination with the top 2013 outdoor marks by returning student-athletes, the USTFCCCA computers project the Aggies women as the significant favorites over five-time defending indoor champion Oregon, and predict a dogfight for the men’s title.

Men’s Top Five

1)Arkansas 2)Florida 3)Texas AM 4)Oregon 5)Florida State
Arkansas
311.88 pts
2013: 3rd
Florida
300.11 pts
Co-Champ
Texas A&M
296.36 pts
Co-Champ
Oregon
294.12 pts
2013: 4th
Florida State
208.46 pts
2013: 9th
View Complete Men’s Rankings

Arkansas (311.88 team rankings points) finds itself atop the men’s rankings for the first time since the beginning of the USTFCCCA rankings in 2008, but only narrowly over defending men’s outdoor co-champions Florida (300.11) and Texas A&M (296.36) at No. 2 and 3, respectively, and recently crowned indoor champion Oregon (294.12) at No. 4.

The Razorbacks have eight competitors ranked in the top five of their events, including second-ranked Patrick Rono (800 meters) and Stanley Kebenei (steeplechase) – not to mention a The Bowerman Watch List member in Jarrion Lawson (long jump).

A wild card for Oregon will be reigning cross country indoor 3000 and 5000 meter national champion Edward Cheserek, who will be competing in his first collegiate outdoor campaign and is not included in the preseason event rankings. Indoor marks from the 2014 season are not considered for the outdoor rankings.

Florida State (208.46) rounded out the men’s top five.

Women’s Top Five

1)Texas AM 2)Oregon 3)Texas 4)Florida 5)Kentucky
Texas A&M
390.30 pts
2013: 2nd
Oregon
278.91 pts
2013: 3rd
Texas
272.81 pts
2013: 15th
Florida
268.84 pts
2013: 11th
Kentucky
207.44 pts
No 2013 team score
View Complete Women’s Rankings

With 390.30 team rankings points, the Texas A&M women’s advantage over No. 2 Oregon (278.91) is almost exactly 10 times greater than that of the Arkansas men over Florida.

Top-ranked Kamaria Brown (200 meters) of The Bowerman Watch List and the nation’s No. 1 4×100 relay headline a corps of 10 Texas A&M athletes/relay teams ranked among the top five in their respective events.

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The computers favor the Aggies so overwhelmingly that only four other teams are within 200 points of them.

That group includes No. 2 Oregon, No. 3 Texas (272.81), No. 4 Florida (268.84) and No. 5 Kentucky (207.44). Despite winning the indoor title in each of the past five seasons, the Ducks have yet to sweep the indoor/outdoor national team titles, having finished third last year and second in each of the three years prior.

Defending outdoor national team champion Kansas will start the spring of 2014 at No. 10.

Arkansas and Texas A&M are in good position if recent history is any indicator. Since its inception in 2008, the USTFCCCA rankings have been remarkably accurate in predicting the men’s and women’s outdoor team champions in Division I.

Five of the six women’s team that have been ranked No. 1 during that span have gone on to win the national title, as have four of the six men’s teams – or at least claim a share of the title as was the case with Texas A&M last season.

The purpose and methodology of the rankings is to create an index that showcases the teams that have the best potential of achieving the top spots in the national team race. Rankings points do not equate with NCAA Championships team points. A full description of the rankings can be found here.

USTFCCCA NCAA Division I

Men’s Outdoor Track & Field National Team Computer Rankings (Top 25)

2014 Preseason — March 25

next ranking: April 8
Rank School Points Conference Head Coach (Yr) 2013 FINAL
1 Arkansas 311.88 SEC Chris Bucknam (6th) 3
2 Florida 300.11 SEC Mike Holloway (12th) 1
3 Texas A&M 296.36 SEC Pat Henry (10th) 1
4 Oregon 294.12 Pac-12 Robert Johnson (2nd) 4
5 Florida State 208.46 ACC Bob Braman (11th) 9
6 Wisconsin 168.62 Big Ten Mick Byrne (1st) 15
7 Georgia 165.54 SEC Wayne Norton (15th) 49
8 LSU 164.02 SEC Dennis Shaver (10th) 7
9 UCLA 161.98 Pac-12 Mike Maynard (5th) 12
10 Alabama 159.89 SEC Dan Waters (3rd) 11
11 Nebraska 153.11 Big Ten Gary Pepin (31st) 15
12 Mississippi 149.74 SEC Brian O’Neal (2nd) 8
13 Southern California 144.63 Pac-12 Caryl Smith Gilbert (1st) 5
14 Texas Tech 140.92 Big 12 Wes Kittley (15th) 24
15 Tennessee 123.66 SEC J.J. Clark (5th) 77
16 Arizona 117.42 Pac-12 Fred Harvey (12th) 10
17 Baylor 115.83 Big 12 Todd Harbour (9th) 58
18 Texas 107.86 Big 12 Mario Sategna (1st) 6
19 Penn State 98.95 Big Ten Beth Alford-Sullivan (8th) 14
20 BYU 96.42 Independent (DI) Ed Eyestone (1st) 24
21 Cornell 87.01 Ivy Nathan Taylor (15th) 49
22 Arizona State 86.70 Pac-12 Greg Kraft (18th) 28
23 Stanford 84.28 Pac-12 Chris Miltenberg (2nd) NR
24 California 83.37 Pac-12 Tony Sandoval (22nd) NR
25 Illinois 77.65 Big Ten Mike Turk (5th) 49
View All Teams Beyond the Top 25

 

Men’s Conference Index Top 10
Rank Conference Points Top 25 Teams
1 SEC 1885.56 8
2 Pac-12 1063.82 7
3 Big Ten 746.59 4
4 Big 12 703.33 3
5 ACC 582.38 1
6 Conference USA 255.23
7 Ivy 185.48 1
8 Mountain West 146.59
9 American 139.47
10 Missouri Valley 98.30

 

USTFCCCA NCAA Division I

Women’s Outdoor Track & Field National Team Computer Rankings (Top 25)

2014 Preseason — March 25

next ranking: April 8
Rank School Points Conference Head Coach (Yr) 2013 FINAL
1 Texas A&M 390.30 SEC Pat Henry (10th) 2
2 Oregon 278.91 Pac-12 Robert Johnson (2nd) 3
3 Texas 272.81 Big 12 Mario Sategna (1st) 15
4 Florida 268.84 SEC Mike Holloway (7th) 11
5 Kentucky 207.44 SEC Edrick Floreal (2nd) NR
6 Georgia 170.48 SEC Wayne Norton (15th) 11
7 Southern California 160.30 Pac-12 Caryl Smith Gilbert (1st) 21
8 LSU 152.06 SEC Dennis Shaver (10th) 4
9 Arizona 151.40 Pac-12 Fred Harvey (12th) 6
10 Kansas 151.25 Big 12 Stanley Redwine (14th) 1
11 San Diego State 137.19 Mountain West Shelia Burrell (5th) 23
12 Florida State 130.86 ACC Bob Braman (11th) 29
13 UCLA 129.00 Pac-12 Mike Maynard (2nd) 20
14 Arkansas 128.40 SEC Lance Harter (24th) 8
15 Stanford 125.40 Pac-12 Chris Miltenberg (2nd) 6
16 Texas Tech 109.48 Big 12 Wes Kittley (15th) 49
17 Penn State 107.90 Big Ten Beth Alford-Sullivan (15th) 29
18 Notre Dame 105.11 ACC Joe Piane (39th) 39
19 Washington 104.83 Pac-12 Greg Metcalf (12th) 29
20 South Carolina 102.28 SEC Curtis Frye (18th) 45
21 Arizona State 92.72 Pac-12 Greg Kraft (18th) 10
22 Providence 90.12 Big East Ray Treacy (30th) 49
23 UCF 87.37 American Jeanette Bolden (1st) 5
24 Connecticut 78.17 American Bill Morgan (11th) NR
25 Baylor 77.09 Big 12 Todd Harbour (9th) NR
View All Teams Beyond the Top 25

 

Women’s Conference Index Top 10
Rank Conference Points Top 25 Teams
1 SEC 1653.73 7
2 Pac-12 1127.64 7
3 Big 12 883.04 4
4 ACC 600.28 2
5 Big Ten 452.53 1
6 American 280.23 2
7 Mountain West 244.24 1
8 Big East 202.73 1
9 Mid-American 186.93
10 Ivy 158.29